Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.031599 0.033975 0.036349 0.038898 0.041552 0.044231 0.047137
2025-09-14 0.026416 0.030147 0.034005 0.038279 0.042863 0.047619 0.052910
2025-09-21 0.023001 0.027486 0.032245 0.037638 0.043546 0.049789 0.056855
2025-09-28 0.020164 0.025124 0.030511 0.036737 0.043679 0.051128 0.059676
2025-10-05 0.018972 0.024449 0.030506 0.037616 0.045649 0.054369 0.064476
2025-10-12 0.017667 0.023526 0.030120 0.037973 0.046956 0.056809 0.068334
2025-10-19 0.016203 0.022311 0.029309 0.037763 0.047551 0.058393 0.071184
2025-10-26 0.015653 0.022132 0.029660 0.038855 0.049597 0.061587 0.075820
2025-11-02 0.014688 0.021389 0.029294 0.039063 0.050589 0.063553 0.079047
2025-11-09 0.013644 0.020486 0.028685 0.038941 0.051157 0.065006 0.081663
2025-11-16 0.012738 0.019706 0.028184 0.038909 0.051800 0.066519 0.084328
2025-11-23 0.011733 0.018745 0.027415 0.038514 0.051982 0.067471 0.086324
2025-11-30 0.010778 0.017860 0.026775 0.038339 0.052512 0.068942 0.089068
2025-12-07 0.009665 0.016719 0.025787 0.037725 0.052522 0.069823 0.091166
2025-12-14 0.008648 0.015640 0.024822 0.037090 0.052465 0.070593 0.093104
2025-12-21 0.007624 0.014480 0.023693 0.036197 0.052049 0.070900 0.094468
2025-12-28 0.007345 0.014374 0.023950 0.037067 0.053808 0.073814 0.098923
2026-01-04 0.006904 0.013998 0.023821 0.037422 0.054911 0.075930 0.102424
2026-01-11 0.006303 0.013342 0.023281 0.037213 0.055289 0.077151 0.104846
2026-01-18 0.006172 0.013400 0.023722 0.038296 0.057298 0.080364 0.109665
2026-01-25 0.005771 0.013008 0.023515 0.038502 0.058184 0.082196 0.112819
2026-02-01 0.005299 0.012470 0.023077 0.038381 0.058635 0.083485 0.115310
2026-02-08 0.004888 0.012002 0.022718 0.038349 0.059190 0.084891 0.117938